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Vose, David

Quantitative risk analysis : a guide to Monte Carlo simulation modelling / David Vose - Chichester : Wiley, c1996 - XII, 328 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.

1. Introduction. 2. What is quantitative risk analysis. 3. Probability theory and statistics. 4. How Monte Carlo simulation works. 5. Probability distributions. 6. Building a risk analysis model. 7. Deriving distributions from data. 8. Defining distributions from expert opinion. 9. Modelling dependencies. 10. Project risk analysis. 11. Incorporating uncertainty into time series projections. 12. Presenting and interpreting risk analysis results. 13. Problems for the reader to solve.

ISBN: 0471958034

Subjects--Topical Terms:
Monte Carlo methods
Risk assessment-mathematical models

LC Class. No.: QA298.V67

Dewey Class. No.: 658.4'.352