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Quantitative risk analysis : a guide to Monte Carlo simulation modelling /

by Vose, David
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Published by : Wiley, (Chichester : ) Physical details: XII, 328 p. : ill. ; 24 cm. Subject(s): Monte Carlo methods | Risk assessment-mathematical models Year : 1996
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1. Introduction. 2. What is quantitative risk analysis. 3. Probability theory and statistics. 4. How Monte Carlo simulation works. 5. Probability distributions. 6. Building a risk analysis model. 7. Deriving distributions from data. 8. Defining distributions from expert opinion. 9. Modelling dependencies. 10. Project risk analysis. 11. Incorporating uncertainty into time series projections. 12. Presenting and interpreting risk analysis results. 13. Problems for the reader to solve.

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